Exchange Rate Forecasting

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Exchange Rate Forecasting

Techniques and Applications
By: Imad Moosa
Our price: 125 + postage

Product code: 10864
ISBN: 0333736443
448 pages
Format: Hb
Published by: Palgrave (Trade), 1999, 1st edition
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Description of Exchange Rate Forecasting
Forecasting exchange rates is a variable that preoccupies economists, businesses and governments, being more critical to more people than any other variable.

In Exchange Rate Forecasting the author sets out to provide a concise survey of the techniques of forecasting - bringing together the various forecasting methods and applying them to the exchange rate in a highly accessible and readable manner.

Highly practical in approach, the book provides an understanding of the techniques of forecasting with an emphasis on its applications and use in business decision-making, such as hedging, speculation, investment, financing and capital budgeting. In addition, the author also considers recent developments in the field, notably neural networks and chaos, again, with easy-to-understand explanations of these 'rocket science' areas.

The practical approach to forecasting is also reflected in the number of examples that pepper the text, whilst descriptions of some of the software packages that are used in practice to generate forecasts are also provided.

Exchange Rate Forecasting - Chapter headings
Expectations and Forecasting: An Overview

Exchange Rate Forecasting as an Input in the Decision-Making Process

Univariate Time Series Techniques

Multivariate Time Series Models

Market-Based Forecasting: The Spot and Forward Exchange Rates

Judgmental and Composite Forecasting

Technical Analysis

Trading Rules

Recent Developments: Neural Networks and Chaos

Measuring Forecasting Accuracy

Selection, Implementation and Monitoring of Forecasts

Case Studies

Concluding Remarks

References

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